The table above has these entries. Post entries with just one line for Reach were not boosted. Boosted posts have two lines for Reach and several other items. The upper line reflects all interactions, the bottom line just those resulting from paid ads.
========== Best Democratic attack ad against Walker - just quote Trump! https://msn.com/en-us/news/politics/quite-astonishinmsstate%20football%20rosterg-cnn-s-chris-wallace-stunned-by-trump-endorsement-being-used-as-attack-ad-against-herschel-walker/ar-AA14hiGE #PS1election ===== comments 58 impact 4301 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-11-24 ratio 1 react 3910 reactrate 0 shares 4 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 3848 title Best Democratic attack ad against Walker - just quote topic election wordrate 0 words 11 audclicks 3848 commentsimpress 58 epoch Lifetime ID 1811437422534102 impress 8808 matchedlinkclicks 1759 matchedotherclicks 2089 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "11/24/2022 09:11" rcs 111 reach 5827 reactions 49 sharesimpress 4 title "‘Quite Astonishing’: CNN’s Chris Wallace Stunned By Trump Endorsement Being Used as Attack Ad Against Herschel Walker" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1811437422534102 ========== A closely divided, do-nothing Congress appears to be in our future. As in 2016, the pollsters were remarkably wrong, but this time in the other direction though. Democrats registered many more surprises than Republicans. A do-nothing Congress is OK with many GOP megadonors - do-nothing is better FOR THEM than do-Democratic, and what's good for job creator GOP megadonors is good for everybody, right? Looks like the Senate will remain under Democratic control. The Georgia race will go to a runoff, probably the most expensive Senate election in history. The House will be under nominal Republican control, but with a very narrow margin no greater than the Democrats' current margin and a far more ferociously divided caucus and a likely less effective leader, they seem exceptionally qualified to do-nothing. Big surprises include how well Democrats did in OH and PA against candidates endorsed by Trump and denying the 2020 election, and how well Republicans did in NY with candidates not endorsed by Trump and not denying the 2020 election. CO-3 will go to a recount between Boebert and Frisch. The Alaska Senate and House races will be decided on Nov 23 by ranked-choice voting. Several races are uncalled because late-arriving mail-in ballots have yet to be received and counted - from military overseas, for instance. == T means Republican was endorsed by Trump D means Republican was a 2020 election denier C means crazy Republican per https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/10/07/republican-house-candidates-2022-crazy/ ? means not all 4 sources used have called the race Runoff GA TD Warnock Walker Unexpected D AZ TD Hobbs PA TD Fetterman WI TD Evers CO-8 C ? Caraveo NC-13 TDC Nickel NM-2-D Vasquez OH-1 TD Landsman OH-13 TDC Sykes PA-7 Wild PA-17 Deluzio RI-2 Magaziner TX-34 D Gonzalez WA-3 TD Gluesenkamp Perez Unexpected R NY-3 C Santos NY-17 Lawler Unpredicted Tossups to D MD-6 Trone NV-4 D Horsford NY-18 Ryan Unpredicted Tossups to R AZ-1 TD Schweikert AZ-6 Ciscomani Predicted Tossups to D NV TD Cortez Masto CT-5 Hayes IL-17 Sorensen MI-7 Slotkin NV-1 Titus NV-3 D Lee PA-8 TD Cartwright WA-8 Schrier Predicted Tossups to R NY-19 Molinaro Expected D AZ TD Kelly KS TD Kelly ME D MIlls MI TD Whitmer NH TD Hassan NM T Grisham OR Kotek PA TD Shapiro CA-9 Harder CA-47 D ? Porter CA-49 Levin IN-1 Mrvan KS-3 D Davids ME-2 D Golden MN-2 D Craig NV-4 DC Horsford OR-6 Salinas TX-28 Cuellar Expected R GA Kemp NC TD Budd NV T Lombardo OH TD Vance UT T Lee WI T Johnson CA-27 D Garcia CA-41 TD Calvert CA-45 Steel IA-3 TC Nunn NY-22 Williams OR-5 Chavez-DeRemer VA-2 D Kiggans Not yet called AK Senate and House -TD - ranked choice CA-13,22 CO-3-TD - probable recount Secretary of State competitive races against election deniers https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2022/election-deniers-running-for-office-elections-2022/ All Called Democratic - AZ,CT,MI,MN,NM,NM https://www.cnn.com/election/2022/results/secretary-of-state?election-data-id=2022-SSG&election-painting-mode=projection&filter-key-races=false&filter-flipped=false https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html == More about political scrapbook - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/about.html #PS1election https://www.reuters.com/world/us/republicans-one-seat-away-winning-house-us-midterm-vote-2022-11-16/ ===== comments 44 impact 42905 impactrate 3 negative 0 posted 2022-11-18 ratio 1 react 909 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 863 title A closely divided, do-nothing Congress appears to be in topic election wordrate 0 words 472 audclicks 863 commentsimpress 44 epoch Lifetime ID 1806857202992124 impress 3896 matchedlinkclicks 171 matchedotherclicks 692 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "11/18/2022 11:11" rcs 81 reach 1763 reactions 35 sharesimpress 2 title "Republicans win U.S. House majority, setting stage for divided government" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1806857202992124 ========== With 99% of the vote in, Boebert leads by about 1100 votes, but nobody has called CO-8 yet. Christian Nationalism didn't get her across the line - https://www.denverpost.com/2022/09/14/lauren-boebert-christian-nationalist-republican-colorado/ Coloradans are getting tired of her antics - https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/11/opinions/colorado-race-boebert-frisch-lenti/index.html How a Boebert-Frisch recount would work - https://denverpost.com/2022/11/10/lauren-boebert-colorado-election-results-adam-frisch-recount-possible/ And she's asking for more money to pay for it - https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/lauren-boebert-live-republican-asks-for-donations-to-support-recount-of-colorado-election-results/ar-AA143TSR == More about political scrapbook - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/about.html #PS1election ===== comments 46 impact 10956 impactrate 1 negative 0 posted 2022-11-14 ratio 1 react 1826 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 1777 title With 99% of the vote in, Boebert leads by about 1100 votes, topic election wordrate 0 words 60 audclicks 1777 commentsimpress 46 epoch Lifetime ID 1803772193300625 impress 4777 matchedlinkclicks 356 matchedotherclicks 1421 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "11/14/2022 19:11" rcs 85 reach 2954 reactions 36 sharesimpress 3 title "What if there’s a recount in Lauren Boebert and Adam Frisch’s House race?" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1803772193300625 ========== Looks like the Senate will remain under Democratic control. The Georgia race will go to a runoff, probably the most expensive Senate election in history. How about some other close races? Two uncalled House races have differences of less than 1000 votes; nine with less than 10000 votes. Several are uncalled because late-arriving mail-in ballots have yet to be received and counted - from military overseas, for instance. Big surprises include how well Democrats did in OH and PA against candidates endorsed by Trump and denying the 2020 election, and how well Republicans did in NY with candidates not endorsed by Trump and not denying the 2020 election. T means Republican was endorsed by Trump D means Republican was a 2020 election denier C means crazy Republican per https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/10/07/republican-house-candidates-2022-crazy/ ? means not all 4 sources used have called the race Runoff GA TD Warnock Walker Unexpected D AZ TD Hobbs PA TD Fetterman WI TD Evers CO-8 C ? Caraveo NC-13 TDC Nickel NM-2-D Vasquez OH-1 TD Landsman OH-13 TDC Sykes PA-7 Wild PA-17 Deluzio RI-2 Magaziner TX-34 D Gonzalez WA-3 TD Gluesenkamp Perez Unexpected R NY-3 C Santos NY-17 Lawler Unpredicted Tossups to D MD-6 Trone NV-4 D Horsford NY-18 Ryan Unexpected Tossups to R AZ-1 TD Schweikert AZ-6 Ciscomani Predicted Tossups to D NV TD Cortez Masto CT-5 Hayes IL-17 Sorensen MI-7 Slotkin NV-1 Titus NV-3 D Lee PA-8 TD Cartwright WA-8 Schrier Predicted Tossups to R NY-19 Molinaro Expected D AZ TD Kelly KS TD Kelly ME D MIlls MI TD Whitmer NH TD Hassan NM T Grisham OR Kotek PA TD Shapiro CA-9 Harder CA-49 Levin IN-1 Mrvan KS-3 D Davids ME-2 D Golden MN-2 D Craig NV-4 DC Horsford OR-6 Salinas TX-28 Cuellar Expected R GA Kemp NC TD Budd NV T Lombardo OH TD Vance UT T Lee WI T Johnson CA-27 D Garcia CA-41 TD Calvert CA-45 Steel IA-3 TC Nunn NY-22 Williams OR-5 Chavez-DeRemer VA-2 D Kiggans Not yet called AK Senate and House -TD - ranked choice CA-13,22,47-D CO-3-TD Secretary of State competitive races against election deniers https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2022/election-deniers-running-for-office-elections-2022/ All Called Democratic - AZ,CT,MI,MN,NM,NM https://www.cnn.com/election/2022/results/secretary-of-state?election-data-id=2022-SSG&election-painting-mode=projection&filter-key-races=false&filter-flipped=false https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html #PS1election ===== impact 0 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-11-13 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 title Looks like the Senate will remain under Democratic control. topic election wordrate 0 words 351 epoch Lifetime ID 1802648133413031 impress 24 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "11/13/2022 08:11" reach 20 title "Tossups in 2022 Election" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1802648133413031 ========== Looks like the Senate will remain under Democratic control. How about some other close races? The Georgia Senate race will go to a runoff, probably the most expensive Senate election in history, which might well determine control of the Senate. Some truly close House races are not yet called because the difference is only hundreds or a few thousand votes, while others are because late-arriving mail-in ballots have to be received and counted - from military overseas, for instance. Big surprises include how well Democrats did in OH and PA against candidates endorsed by Trump and denying the 2020 election, and how well Republicans did in NY with candidates not endorsed by Trump and not denying the 2020 election. T means Republican was endorsed by Trump D means Republican was a 2020 election denier C means crazy Republican per https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/10/07/republican-house-candidates-2022-crazy/ ? means not all 4 sources used have called the race Runoff GA TD Warnock Walker Unexpected D PA TD Fetterman WI TD Evers NC-13 TDC Nickel NM-2-D ? Vasquez OH-1 TD Landsman OH-13 TDC Sykes PA-7 Wild PA-17 Deluzio RI-2 Magaziner TX-34 D Gonzalez WA-3 TD Glueesenkamp Perez Unexpected R NY-3 C Santos NY-17 Lawler Unpredicted Tossups to D MD-6 Trone NV-4 D Horsford NY-18 Ryan Predicted Tossups to D NV TD Cortez Masto CT-5 Hayes IL-17 Sorensen MI-7 Slotkin NV-1 Titus NV-3 D Lee PA-8 TD Cartwright WA-8 Schrier Predicted Tossups to R NY-19 Molinaro Expected D AZ TD Kelly KS TD Kelly ME D MIlls MI TD Whitmer NH TD Hassan NM T Grisham NV 4 Horsford OR Kotek PA TD Shapiro IN-1 Mrvan KS-3 D Davids MN-2 D Craig TX-28 Cuellar Expected R GA Kemp NC TD Budd NV T Lombardo OH TD Vance UT T Lee WI T Johnson IA-3 TC Nunn VA-2 D Kiggins Not yet called Governor AZ-TD House AK-TD AZ 1-TD,6 CA-9,13,22,27-D,41-TD,45,47-D,49 CO-3-TD,8-C ME-2-D NY-22 OR-5,6 Secretary of State competitive races against election deniers https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2022/election-deniers-running-for-office-elections-2022/ All Called Democratic - AZ,CT,MI,MN,NM,NM https://www.cnn.com/election/2022/results/secretary-of-state?election-data-id=2022-SSG&election-painting-mode=projection&filter-key-races=false&filter-flipped=false https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html #PS1election ===== impact 33 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-11-08 ratio 9 react 1 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 1 title Looks like the Senate will remain under Democratic control. topic election wordrate 0 words 327 audclicks 1 audreach 1 engaged 1 ID 1799121987098979 impress 10 likeuimpress 5 likeuusers 5 matchedlinkclicks 1 oimpress 10 oreach 9 posted "11/08/2022 08:57:46 PM" postlinkclicks 1 reach 9 type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1799121987098979 ========== Polls are still open in the West. https://brennancenter.substack.com/p/send-election-deniers-a-message #PS1election ===== impact 0 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-11-08 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 title Polls are still open in the West. topic election wordrate 0 words 8 epoch Lifetime ID 1799059453771899 impress 18 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "11/08/2022 18:11" reach 15 title "Send election deniers a message" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1799059453771899 ========== Polling places are starting to close on the East Coast. May all losing candidates, after taking all reasonable steps to verify close outcomes, graciously concede, for a peaceful transition. May all candidates, winning and losing, who based their campaigns on lies and rumors, whether spoken by themselves or by others, repent and make restitution by affirming their future devotion to https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-enlightenment.html the Enlightenment ideals of America's founders in all future political activity. Close races likely won't be called until tomorrow - at the earliest. Some will be tracked here - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html #PS1election ===== impact 9 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-11-08 ratio 19 react 1 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 title Polling places are starting to close on the East Coast. topic election wordrate 0 words 90 epoch Lifetime ID 1799014907109687 impress 22 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "11/08/2022 17:11" rcs 1 reach 19 sharesimpress 1 title "Tossups in 2022 Election" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1799014907109687 ========== Last minute changes in close races more often favor GOP But being close, many have been reclassified several times and could go either way. So it's still important to vote. Senate trending blue - AZ Kelly - Tilt D to Lean D Senate trending red - PA Fetterman - Tilt D to Tilt R Governor trending blue - KS Kelly - Tossup to Tilt D OR Kotek - Tossup to Tilt D Governor trending red - AZ Hobbs - Tossup to Tilt R NV Sisolak - Tossup to Tilt R WI Evers - Tossup to Tilt R House trending blue - D+ ME-2 Golden - Tossup to Tilt D D+ MN-2 Craig - Tossup to Lean D D+ TX-28 Cuellar - Tilt D to Lean D House trending red - R+ CA-49 Levin - Lean D to Tilt D R+ CA-22 Salas - Tossup to Tilt R R+ CT-5 Hayes - Tilt D to Tossup R+ NV-1 Titus - Tilt D to Tossup R+ WA-8 Schrier - new Tossup R+ IN-1 Mrvan - new Tossup R+ NY-3 Zimmerman - new Tilt D R+ NY-22 Conole - Tilt R to Lean R R+ PA-17 Deluzio - Tossup to Tilt R R+ RI-2 Magaziner - Tossup to Tilt R R+ TX-34 Gonzalez - Tilt D to Tossup R+ NM-2 Vasquez - Tilt R to Lean R R+ OH-1 Landsman - Tossup to Lean R R+ OR-5 McLeod-Skinner - Tossup to Tilt R R+ VA-2 Luria - Tossup to Tilt R Data- https://www.270towin.com Details - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html More about political scrapbook - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/about.html #PS1election https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html ===== impact 0 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-11-08 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 title Last minute changes in close races more often favor GOP topic election wordrate 0 words 257 epoch Lifetime ID 1798788917132286 impress 17 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "11/08/2022 09:11" reach 15 title "Tossups in 2022 Election" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1798788917132286 ========== If people can't agree on the methods of determining truth, how can they agree on anything else? Of course the country is divided - between fact and fantasy. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/31/early-voters-lament-high-prices-disunity-yet-vote-opposite-sides/ #PS1election ===== impact 3 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-11-01 ratio 17 react 1 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 title If people can't agree on the methods of determining truth, topic election wordrate 0 words 29 epoch Lifetime ID 1793828547628323 impress 19 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "11/01/2022 22:11" rcs 2 reach 17 reactions 1 sharesimpress 1 title "Early voters lament high prices and disunity, yet vote for opposite sides" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1793828547628323 ========== DeSantis springs his trap! 20 (mostly black) ex-felons were allowed to register and vote, and THEN arrested. He got his photo-ops, and who cares how many poor people he messed up? It was a good lesson to the rest of them! https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/10/26/desantis-florida-voter-fraud-law-confusion/ But if most of them will have charges dropped, as seems likely, maybe DeSantis should send his task force on a more productive mission, busting employers cheating with immigrants - https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1774625046215340 #PS1election https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/10/26/desantis-florida-voter-fraud-law-confusion/ ===== impact 14 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-10-27 ratio 10 react 2 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 2 title DeSantis springs his trap! 20 (mostly black) ex-felons topic election wordrate 0 words 72 audclicks 2 epoch Lifetime ID 1789566454721199 impress 23 matchedlinkclicks 2 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "10/27/2022 12:10" reach 21 title "Opinion | DeSantis unleashes the Florida voter-fraud squad. Perplexity ensues." type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1789566454721199 ========== Everybody says that 2022 is the most consequential election in American history - especially those trying to raise money for candidates. GOP started out strong, faded after the Roe v Wade decision, and lately has been boosted by continuing inflation, even though gas prices have started falling again, and the US can't do much about global oil prices. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/24/opinion/saudi-arabia-opec-oil-cut.html Of course they said most consequential election in 2016, 2018, and 2022, and will say it again in 2024. And they were right - the seminal question of the decade is - Will American join the global lurch from democracy to reactionary Potemkin democracy, neo-fascism, and cult of personality? Putin, Xi, Kim, and the ayatollahs certainly believe that the Enlightenment ideals of America's founders are bound to lose out to their superior methods of governance. https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-enlightenment.html == Certainly the second Trump constituency - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency is looking forward with glee to Trump's reinstatement and The Storm, either in 2022 or 2024. Calling them insurrectionists and violent extremists gratifies them - https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/10/12/kari-lake-trump-populism-sellout/ They want to identify as far away as possible from the Enlightenment ideals of America's founders. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/10/07/republican-house-candidates-2022-crazy/ == What do you have to lose? https://apnews.com/341b104bc5484fad85ca340d537810af Will 2022 turn out like 1866? Some might hope so, but many members of the first Trump constituency https://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency might do well to consider the consequences of Trumpist success. Not necessarily Trump success - there are several worse Trumpists who hope to displace him at the center of Trumpism - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-credos.html#revisionist Some specific groups that might be alarmed about what they have to lose - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/02/house-senate-control-2022-outcomes/ == anybody on medicaid, obamacare, medicare, social security Balanced budget amendment and entitlement reform are GOP-speak for privatizing, eliminating, or cutting back on Federal social welfare programs. Would you feel better knowing that an anonymous Wall Street bureaucrat would be taking care of your social insurance instead of an anonymous DC civil service bureaucrat? But the GOP megadonors will be thrilled to profit from running privatized social welfare - they love running private prisons for profit! - and they love not having to pay taxes to subsidize the Federal programs they replace. == women who care about reproductive rights - https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-abortion-inflation-us-supreme-court-health-7ea4f8fa597c97042503d856a082ef94 As with abortion, patriarchalists will start out talking states rights and end up doing national bans. == black people who don't like to be prejudged criminal - https://apnews.com/article/tuberville-comments-reparations-19d58a87c23b57c1e9a6c8ca7f8fcb70 == Jews who worry about QAnons' embrace of the Protocols of Zion, not to mention the Nazis and KKK supporters - https://forward.com/fast-forward/518163/doug-mastriano-josh-shapiro-jewish-day-school-antisemitism/ == everybody who believes in separation of church and state - https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterms-house-gop-boerbert-illinois-506721f6a080ffa54ec2cd00b366e0a0 == our allies abroad - Ukraine, Taiwan, South Korea, Western Europe - https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/10/10/republicans-ukraine-putin-russia-midterms/ For this, GOP gets plenty of support from Putin and Xi! https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-russia-ukraine-campaigns-presidential-ea913f2b3b818651a9db1327adaa330a Tucker Carlson is rebroadcast every night on Russian state propaganda TV. https://www.newsweek.com/russian-state-tv-using-tucker-carlson-clips-promote-war-unrest-grows-1746067 == what have YOU got to lose? ===== And if it turns out really bad - https://www.washingtonpost.com/magazine/2022/10/10/country-after-second-trump-term/ then sectionalism or civil war - or at least regional federalism - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2020-regional.html The last is not good, but better than the alternatives. ===== More on political scrapbook at https://www.political-scrapbook.net/about.html #PS1election https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/02/house-senate-control-2022-outcomes/ ===== comments 33 impact 25086 impactrate 2 negative 0 posted 2022-10-25 ratio 4 react 513 reactrate 0 shares 5 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 475 title Everybody says that 2022 is the most consequential topic election wordrate 0 words 489 audclicks 475 commentsimpress 33 epoch Lifetime ID 1787796844898160 impress 3074 matchedlinkclicks 152 matchedotherclicks 323 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "10/25/2022 09:10" rcs 60 reach 2310 reactions 22 sharesimpress 5 title "Analysis | What happens if Republicans take the House, Senate (or both) in 2023?" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1787796844898160 ========== Evil aliens from a distant fantasy dimension have arrived in the Nevada desert and are destroying the election system in order to save it! https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/10/21/nevada-republicans-election-denier-sabotage-midterms/ Save it from what? Evil aliens? #PS1election ===== impact 0 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-10-22 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 title Evil aliens from a distant fantasy dimension have arrived topic election wordrate 0 words 31 epoch Lifetime ID 1785075301836981 impress 34 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "10/22/2022 05:10" reach 32 title "Opinion | In Nevada, election deniers prepare to sabotage the midterms" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1785075301836981 ========== Which elections are still close enough to perhaps be affected by small donations of time or money? Senate - GA, NV, PA Governor - AZ, KS, NV, OR, WI House - AK, CA-22, CA-27, KS-3, ME-2, NM-2, NY-19, NY-22, OR-5, PA-7, PA-8, PA-17, RI-2, VA-2 Details at https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html It's all subject to change at short notice! == But are you tired of one-dollar-one-vote? Would you rather donate AGAINST megadonors buying elections? Ideas at https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html#dark == More on political scrapbook at - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/about.html #PS1election https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html ===== comments 5 impact 2496 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-10-20 ratio 9 react 312 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 305 title Which elections are still close enough to perhaps be topic election wordrate 0 words 80 audclicks 305 commentsimpress 5 epoch Lifetime ID 1783575111987000 impress 3841 matchedlinkclicks 60 matchedotherclicks 245 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "10/20/2022 09:10" rcs 13 reach 3094 reactions 6 sharesimpress 2 title "Tossups in 2022 Election" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1783575111987000 ========== Everybody says that 2022 is the most consequential election in American history - especially those trying to raise money for candidates. Of course they said that in 2016, 2018, and 2022, and will say it again in 2024. And they're right - the seminal question of the decade is - Will American join the global lurch from democracy to reactionary Potemkin democracy, neo-fascism, and cult of personality? Putin, Xi, Kim, and the ayatollahs certainly believe that the Enlightenment ideals of America's founders are bound to lose out to their superior methods of governance. == Certainly the second Trump constituency - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency is looking forward with glee to Trump's reinstatement and The Storm, either in 2022 or 2024. Calling them insurrectionists and violent extremists gratifies them - https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/10/12/kari-lake-trump-populism-sellout/ they want to identify as far away as possible from the Enlightenment ideals of America's founders. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/10/07/republican-house-candidates-2022-crazy/ == What do you have to lose? https://apnews.com/341b104bc5484fad85ca340d537810af Will 2022 turn out like 1866? Some might hope so, but many members of the first Trump constituency https://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency might do well to consider the consequences of Trumpist success. Not necessarily Trump success - there are several worse Trumpists who hope to displace him at the center of Trumpism - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-credos.html#revisionist Some specific groups that might be alarmed about what they have to lose - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/02/house-senate-control-2022-outcomes/ == anybody on medicaid, obamacare, medicare, social security Balanced budget amendment and entitlement reform are GOP code for privatizing Federal social welfare programs. Would you feel better knowingthat an anonymous Wall Street bureaucrat would be taking care of your social insurance instead of an anonymous DC civil service bureaucrat? But the GOP megadonors will be thrilled to profit from running privatized social welfare - they love running private prisons for profit! - and they love not having to pay taxes to subsidize the Federal programs they replace. == women who care about reproductive rights - https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-abortion-inflation-us-supreme-court-health-7ea4f8fa597c97042503d856a082ef94 As with abortion, patriarachalists will start out talking states rights and end up doing national bans. == black people who don't like to be prejudged criminal - https://apnews.com/article/tuberville-comments-reparations-19d58a87c23b57c1e9a6c8ca7f8fcb70 == Jews who worry about QAnons' embrace of the Protocols of Zion not to mention the Nazis and KKK supporters - https://forward.com/fast-forward/518163/doug-mastriano-josh-shapiro-jewish-day-school-antisemitism/ == everybody who believes in separation of church and state - https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterms-house-gop-boerbert-illinois-506721f6a080ffa54ec2cd00b366e0a0 == our allies abroad - Ukraine, Taiwan, South Korea, Western Europe - https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/10/10/republicans-ukraine-putin-russia-midterms/ For this, GOP gets plenty of support from Putin and Xi! https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-russia-ukraine-campaigns-presidential-ea913f2b3b818651a9db1327adaa330a == what have YOU got to lose? ===== And if it turns out really bad - https://www.washingtonpost.com/magazine/2022/10/10/country-after-second-trump-term/ then sectionalism or civil war - or at least regional federalism - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2020-regional.html The last is not good, but better than the alternatives. ===== More on political scrapbook at https://www.political-scrapbook.net/about.html #PS1election https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/02/house-senate-control-2022-outcomes/ ===== comments 226 hide 2 impact 92402 impactrate 6 negative 2 posted 2022-10-12 ratio 4 react 2134 reactrate 0 shares 20 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 1886 title Everybody says that 2022 is the most consequential election topic election wordrate 0 words 433 audclicks 1886 commentsimpress 226 epoch Lifetime hideclicksusers 2 ID 1777185825959262 impress 13142 matchedlinkclicks 543 matchedotherclicks 1343 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "10/12/2022 16:10" rcs 293 reach 8567 reactions 47 sharesimpress 20 title "Analysis | What happens if Republicans take the House, Senate (or both) in 2023?" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1777185825959262 ========== Ever think about making a political contribution? Which races are close enough to perhaps be affected by small donations? Senate - GA, NV, PA, WI Governor - AZ, KS, ME, NM, NV, OR, WI House - AK, CA-22, CA-27, KS-3, ME-2, NM-2, NY-19, NY-22, PA-7, PA-8, VA-2 Details at https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html It's all subject to change at short notice! == But are you tired of one-dollar-one-vote? Would you rather donate AGAINST megadonors buying election? Ideas at https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html#dark == More on poitical scrapbook at - https://www.political-scrapbook.net/about.html #PS1election https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html ===== comments 6 impact 2386 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-10-09 ratio 16 react 291 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 283 title Ever think about making a political contribution? topic election wordrate 0 words 82 audclicks 283 commentsimpress 6 epoch Lifetime ID 1774658622878649 impress 7182 matchedlinkclicks 61 matchedotherclicks 222 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "10/09/2022 17:10" rcs 13 reach 4837 reactions 5 sharesimpress 2 title "Tossups in 2022 Election" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1774658622878649 ========== Tired of one-vote-one-dollar? Rather donate AGAINST megadonors? Ideas at https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html#dark But if you want to do something now - which races are close enough to perhaps be affected by small donations? Senate - Georgia, Nevada, Wisconsin Governor - Arizona, Kansas, Nevada, Wisconsin House - CA-22, CA-27, IL-17, KS-3, ME-2, NM-2, NY-19, PA-8, PA-17, VA=2 Details at https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2022-tossups.html It's all subject to change at short notice! #PS1election ===== comments 6 impact 3200 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-09-28 ratio 13 react 500 reactrate 0 shares 10 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 484 title Tired of one-vote-one-dollar? Rather donate AGAINST topic election wordrate 0 words 64 audclicks 484 commentsimpress 6 epoch Lifetime ID 1765121803832331 impress 9920 matchedlinkclicks 118 matchedotherclicks 366 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "09/28/2022 21:09" rcs 40 reach 6631 reactions 24 sharesimpress 10 title "Tossups in 2022 Election" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1765121803832331 ========== Money is the mother's milk of politics. Tired of that? https://americanpromise.net/ In the meantime, wondering who to support for House of Representatives in California? If you can afford political contributions, do you wonder where to send them where they will do some good? Maybe there aren't any serious contests in your state and district. You could donate to national organizations DCCC https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/8340 but maybe you've wondered how good they are at triage - separating out those candidates that are sure to win or sure to lose, in order to donate where the outcome is truly uncertain and a donation might make a difference. In 2016 the pros were often fooled by independent or undecided voters who had already made up their minds for Trump and Trumpists but didn't want to say so to pollsters who might be liberals. Maybe the pollsters are more discerning now. Maybe not. In the following, taken from 270towin's consensus among several sources, you can find some tossups and tilts - almost tossups - and leaning Democratic and leaning Republican. These are the races that might be worth your money. How can you tell if you are investing wisely or throwing money away? If you have a verifiable method, you have a brilliant career ahead in political consulting. If you just CLAIM to have a verifiable method, you're just like all the others. In the following, tossups and tilts might be productive choices, and the leaning more of a gamble. But these classifications are changing constantly - the next court decision, indictment, economic news, pandemic, or foreign policy reversal can change everything - as has already happened several times this summer. So keep checking! Following data from 21 Sep - and subject to change! Tossup CA-22 Salas https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/122222 CA-27 Smith https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/90880 Tilt CA-13 Gray https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/125128 Lean D CA-9 Harder https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/49974 CA-47 Porter https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/49323 CA-49 Levin https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/48661 Lean R CA-45 Chen https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/112072 Look up other states here - https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/ #PS1election https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/consensus-2022-house-forecast ===== impact 0 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-09-21 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 title Money is the mother's milk of politics. Tired of that? topic election wordrate 0 words 312 epoch Lifetime ID 1758929574451554 impress 12 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "09/21/2022 17:09" reach 9 title "2022 House Election Interactive Map - 270toWin" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1758929574451554 ========== Money is the mother's milk of politics. Tired of that? https://americanpromise.net/ In the meantime, wondering who to support for Governor? If you can afford political contributions, do you wonder where to send them where they will do some good? Maybe there aren't any serious contests in your state and district. You could donate to national organizations DGA https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/8341 but maybe you've wondered how good they are at triage - separating out those candidates that are sure to win or sure to lose, in order to donate where the outcome is truly uncertain and a donation might make a difference. In 2016 the pros were often fooled by independent or undecided voters who had already made up their minds for Trump and Trumpists but didn't want to say so to pollsters who might be liberals. Maybe the pollsters are more discerning now. Maybe not. In the following, taken from 270towin's consensus among several sources, you can find some tossups and tilts - almost tossups - and leaning Democratic and leaning Republican. These are the races that might be worth your money. How can you tell if you are investing wisely or throwing money away? If you have a verifiable method, you have a brilliant career ahead in political consulting. If you just CLAIM to have a verifiable method, you're just like all the others. In the following, tossups and tilts might be productive choices, and the leaning more of a gamble. But these classifications are changing constantly - the next court decision, indictment, economic news, pandemic, or foreign policy reversal can change everything - as has already happened several times this summer. So keep checking! Following data from 21 Sep - and subject to change! Tossup AZ Hobbs https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/117810 KS Kelly https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/56635 WI Evers https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/52615 Tilt NV Sisolak https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/55753 OR Kotek https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/120509 Lean D ME Mills https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/84518 MI Whitmer https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/47094 NM Grisham https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/47095 PA Shapiro https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/121000 Lean R GA Abrams https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/50057 https://www.270towin.com/2022-governor-election/ #PS1election ===== impact 0 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-09-21 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 title Money is the mother's milk of politics. Tired of that? topic election wordrate 0 words 308 epoch Lifetime ID 1758923021118876 impress 9 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "09/21/2022 17:09" reach 7 title "2022 Gubernatorial Elections Interactive Map - 270toWin" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1758923021118876 ========== Money is the mother's milk of politics. Tired of that? https://americanpromise.net/ In the meantime, wondering who to support for Senate? If you can afford political contributions, do you wonder where to send them where they will do some good? Maybe there aren't any serious contests in your state and district. You could donate to national organizations DSCC https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/8339 but maybe you've wondered how good they are at triage - separating out those candidates that are sure to win or sure to lose, in order to donate where the outcome is truly uncertain and a donation might make a difference. In 2016 the pros were often fooled by independent or undecided voters who had already made up their minds for Trump and Trumpists but didn't want to say so to pollsters who might be liberals. Maybe the pollsters are more discerning now. Maybe not. In the following, taken from 270towin's consensus among several sources, you can find some tossups and tilts - almost tossups - and leaning Democratic and leaning Republican. These are the races that might be worth your money. How can you tell if you are investing wisely or throwing money away? If you have a verifiable method, you have a brilliant career ahead in political consulting. If you just CLAIM to have a verifiable method, you're just like all the others. In the following, tossups and tilts might be productive choices, and the leaning more of a gamble. But these classifications are changing constantly - the next court decision, indictment, economic news, pandemic, or foreign policy reversal can change everything - as has already happened several times this summer. So keep checking! Following data from 21 Sep - and subject to change! Tossup GA Warnock https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/93172 NV Cortez Masto https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/39621 Tilt WI Barnes https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/118869 Lean D AZ Kelly https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/77516 NH Hassan https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/41248 PA Fetterman https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/111626 Lean R NC Beasley https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/116165 OH Ryan https://secure.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/116384 https://www.270towin.com/2022-senate-election/ #PS1election ===== impact 31 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-09-21 ratio 15 react 1 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 1 title Money is the mother's milk of politics. Tired of that? topic election wordrate 0 words 305 audclicks 1 epoch Lifetime ID 1758920977785747 impress 19 matchedlinkclicks 1 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "09/21/2022 17:09" reach 15 title "2022 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1758920977785747 ========== Will Newsom vs DeSantis in 2024 lead to regional federalism? https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2020-regional.html https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/03/opinions/newsom-desantis-2024-campaign-ad-obeidallah/index.html https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/03/politics/gavin-newsom-ron-desantis-ad-2024/index.html #PS1election ===== impact 0 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-07-04 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 title Will Newsom vs DeSantis in 2024 lead to regional topic election wordrate 0 words 11 epoch Lifetime ID 1701075480236964 impress 6 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "07/04/2022 08:07" reach 6 title "Gavin Newsom goes on the air against Ron DeSantis as political rivalry grows" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1701075480236964 ========== Another gift to GOP - an issue that they can blame on Biden and don't have to come up with a credible solution of their own. https://apnews.com/article/biden-health-texas-elections-bb1e02dc5c0436e17284e03eb299b527 If Trump had been elected in 2020, this would have happened anyway, as would inflation, as would a chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan. All that would have guaranteed a Democratic Congress elected in 2022. So far, the only gift to the Democrats was the leaked Supreme Court memo, and only if they can explain to swing voters that it's much more than abortion at stake once the GOP starts repealing precedents. Having Biden in office rather than Trump when Putin invaded Ukraine was a gift to the entire western democratic world, but the average American swing voter probably doesn't care. #PS1election ===== impact 0 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2022-05-15 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 title Another gift to GOP - an issue that they can blame on topic election wordrate 0 words 126 epoch Lifetime ID 1665440417133804 impress 7 pageid 534332363577954 pagename "Political scrapbook" posted "05/15/2022 23:05" reach 6 title "GOP's new midterm attack: Blaming Biden for formula shortage" type Link URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1665440417133804